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Trump Is Back: How Immigration Changed

SPECIAL REPORT · MAY 2026

Trump Is Back:
How Immigration Changed

A comprehensive assessment of every executive order, law, and enforcement shift since January 20, 2025 — what took effect, what courts blocked, and how millions of lives have been reshaped.

MAY 2026IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS16-MINUTE READ
25

From the moment Donald Trump returned to the White House on January 20, 2025, his administration moved at an unprecedented pace to overhaul U.S. immigration. Through executive orders, administrative directives, and sweeping legislation, it has transformed who can enter, stay, work, or seek safety in America — affecting everyone from undocumented workers to green card holders, asylum seekers to international students.

SECTION 01Day One: The Executive Order Flood


On Inauguration Day, Trump signed six immigration-related executive orders in a single stroke — the clearest possible signal that the campaign pledges were about to become policy at maximum speed.

JANUARY 20, 2025
"Securing Our Borders" — End of Catch and Release
Required the detention of all immigrants apprehended for immigration violations until removal, effectively ending the long-standing "catch and release" policy. Revoked all Biden-era immigration enforcement executive orders.
JANUARY 20, 2025
Birthright Citizenship Challenged
Ordered that children born in the U.S. on or after February 19, 2025, would not automatically receive citizenship if neither parent was a lawful permanent resident or citizen. Multiple federal courts immediately blocked the order. The case is pending before the Supreme Court.
JANUARY 20, 2025
Revival of the Visa Ban ("Muslim Ban 3.0")
Directed the administration to identify countries for full or partial visa bans based on national security criteria. Dozens of countries were brought within scope throughout 2025.
JANUARY 20, 2025
National Emergency & Military Deployment
Declared a national emergency at the southern border, enabling the deployment of thousands of active-duty troops and clearing the path for physical barrier construction.
JANUARY–MARCH 2025
Humanitarian Programs Shut Down
The CHNV parole program (Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, Venezuelans), Ukraine parole, and the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program (USRAP) were effectively halted or severely restricted.
APRIL 2025
Mandatory Alien Registration
Undocumented immigrants aged 18 and older were required to register with the federal government beginning April 11, 2025. Green card holders, parolees, and those with work permits were considered already registered.
SEPTEMBER 2025
The Gold Card Program
Created via executive order to attract ultra-high-net-worth immigrants, the Gold Card Program offers permanent residency in exchange for a $5 million investment — a revamped, premium-tier alternative to the existing EB-5 investor visa.

SECTION 02The Law That Changed Everything


The most consequential legislative achievement of Trump's second term is the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA), signed into law on July 4, 2025. Passed through the reconciliation process with a bare 51–50 Senate majority, it injected roughly $170 billion into immigration enforcement and fundamentally restructured who can access humanitarian protection.

The law transforms immigration into a pay-to-play system. Steps that were previously free or low-cost — filing for asylum, renewing a work permit, maintaining TPS — now carry fees that put the process out of reach for the most vulnerable.
AMERICAN IMMIGRATION COUNCIL, JULY 2025

New Fee Structure

APPLICATION TYPEOLD FEENEW FEE
Asylum application (one-time)Free$100 (no waiver)
Annual asylum pending fee+$100 every year
TPS registration$50$500 (no waiver)
Work permit (TPS/parole/asylum)~$410$550 initial / $275 renewal
Immigration court appeal / motion~$120$900
Humanitarian parole entry$1,000
Unlawful border crossing penaltyCriminal penalties+$5,000 (including asylum seekers)
Special Immigrant Juvenile StatusLow$250 (including children)

All fees are indexed to inflation and will rise automatically. The complete absence of fee waivers effectively closes these pathways for low-income immigrants.

Benefit Cuts

  • Medicaid & CHIP — Revoked for immigrants from October 1, 2026.
  • ACA (Obamacare) tax credits — Refugees, asylum seekers, TPS holders, and DACA recipients lose ACA subsidies from January 1, 2027.
  • Medicare — Eligibility sharply curtailed from January 27, 2027.
  • Child Tax Credit (CTC) — At least one parent must hold legal immigration status to claim the credit.
  • Flores Agreement abolished — The 1997 settlement limiting migrant children's detention to 20 days was eliminated, allowing the indefinite detention of families and minors.

SECTION 03Border & Asylum Policy


Along the southern border, new policies have made seeking asylum dramatically harder:

🚫
ASYLUM ACCESS
Effectively Suspended
Claiming asylum outside official ports of entry is nearly impossible under current enforcement.
📋
CHNV PAROLE PROGRAM
Terminated
In May 2025, the Supreme Court allowed the Trump administration to end parole status for CHNV participants.
🪖
MILITARY DEPLOYMENT
Thousands of Troops
Active-duty forces deployed along the entire southern border; new barrier sections under construction.
🌐
SAFE THIRD COUNTRY
Expanded
Safe Third Country agreements extended to additional nations, routing asylum seekers away from the U.S.

The Supreme Court sided with the administration on several border enforcement measures throughout 2025, while the birthright citizenship case remains unresolved.

SECTION 04ICE Operations in the Interior


The most dramatic transformation of 2025 happened not at the border, but deep inside American communities.

📈
ICE DETENTIONS SURGE
+65%
ICE detentions hit an all-time high of approximately 70,000 by December 2025.
🚔
NO-CRIMINAL-RECORD ARRESTS
+2,450%
Arrests of people with no criminal conviction surged approximately 25-fold compared to prior years.
🏙️
STREET ARRESTS
11× Increase
Community-level "at-large" arrests — in neighborhoods, workplaces, and courthouses — rose 11 times over 2024.
💀
DEATHS IN DETENTION
Record High
More people died in ICE detention in 2025 than in the preceding four years combined.

A defining and alarming feature of 2025 enforcement was the expansion of ICE operations into immigration courthouses, worksite raids, and even scheduled check-in appointments. Showing up to exercise your legal rights became a reason to fear arrest — a chilling effect advocates say is driving immigrants away from the legal system entirely.

Chicago's Little Village neighborhood felt like a ghost town before the ICE raids even began. New research confirms what residents experienced: the fear of arrest reduced work, shopping, and daily economic activity in immigrant communities — with spillover costs for U.S.-born workers too.
NPR PLANET MONEY, MAY 2026

More than 100 new detention facilities came online during 2025, including, for the first time, hastily-erected tent camps in desert conditions — which courts have since described as inhumane and overcrowded. State cooperation proved decisive: over half of ICE's interior arrests occurred in jails in cooperating states such as Texas and Florida.

SECTION 05Legal Immigration: Visas & Work Permits


The crackdown extends well beyond undocumented immigrants to those who entered through legal channels:

  • 🎓
F-1 Student Visas HIGH RISK
Social media histories going back five years are now scrutinized on applications and at the border. High-profile student visa revocations and detentions — including at Harvard-affiliated institutions — sparked international alarm. Several universities have reported measurable drops in foreign enrollment applications.
  • 💼
H-1B Skilled Worker Visas UNDER REVIEW
Eligibility requirements were tightened and employer sponsorship pathways narrowed. Agricultural worker unions filed suit in November 2025 over new H-2A guest worker rules, arguing they would depress wages across the sector.
  • 🛂
ESTA Visa Waiver NEW RULE
Under a rule implementing the January 2025 national security executive order, ESTA applicants must now disclose all social media accounts from the past five years.
  • 🏡
TPS (Temporary Protected Status) UNDER THREAT
The administration moved to terminate TPS designations for Salvadorans, Venezuelans, and others. Courts offered partial protection, but skyrocketing fees under the OBBBA create severe pressure regardless of legal status.
  • 🗂️
DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) UNDER THREAT
The program faces sustained legal attack; renewals have been administratively slowed. The OBBBA explicitly excludes DACA recipients from ACA health insurance subsidies, while the program's long-term survival remains deeply uncertain.

SECTION 06What Courts Blocked


Federal courts have served as a significant — if incomplete — check on the administration's most expansive claims. The Supreme Court, however, sided with the administration on multiple key measures.

FEBRUARY 2025
Birthright Citizenship — Blocked
Multiple federal circuits found the executive order unconstitutional. The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear the case and will decide whether the 150-year-old guarantee survives.
MAY 2025
CHNV Parole Termination — Supreme Court Approved
The Supreme Court allowed the administration to end parole status for hundreds of thousands of Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan, and Venezuelan immigrants overnight.
MAY–JULY 2025
TPS Terminations — Partially Blocked
Courts issued partial stays on TPS cancellations for several nationalities, but legal uncertainty continues, leaving hundreds of thousands in limbo.
SEPTEMBER 2025
Vasquez-Perdomo v. Noem — Racial Profiling Door Opened
A Supreme Court ruling removed certain legal barriers to racial profiling in immigration enforcement, drawing sharp condemnation from civil rights organizations.

SECTION 07The Most Affected Groups


  • 🌎
Latino Communities
Over half of ICE's interior arrests targeted Latino neighborhoods. According to Pew Research, 59% of Hispanic Americans say ICE has conducted raids in their area — far higher than for any other ethnic group. Both documented and undocumented Latinos live under a pervasive climate of fear. Even Hispanic Republicans (35%) are seven times more likely than White Republicans (5%) to worry about a loved one being deported.
  • 🇻🇪🇭🇹🇨🇺🇳🇮
CHNV & TPS Holders
Hundreds of thousands of people who arrived through the CHNV program lost their legal status in May 2025. TPS holders now face both the threat of termination and prohibitively high fees under the OBBBA. For those without an alternative pathway, deportation is a near-term reality.
  • 🎓
International Students
F-1 visa revocations and social media surveillance have led many students to reconsider studying in the U.S. Universities are reporting visible drops in international applications, with long-term consequences for research capacity and campus diversity.
  • 🌿
Agricultural Workers
Migrant farmworkers are essential to U.S. food production, but face intensifying enforcement and new H-2A visa restrictions. Some farmers reported being unable to fill positions during harvest season, with downstream effects on food prices and supply.
  • 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦
Mixed-Status Families
Households where one parent is a U.S. citizen and others hold different statuses are being squeezed from two sides: deportation fear on one, and the loss of Child Tax Credit benefits and health insurance access on the other. The OBBBA's welfare restrictions directly target these families.
  • 🌍
Refugees & Asylum Seekers
U.S. refugee admissions fell to historic lows in 2025. New filing fees and the annual "pending asylum" fee make the system financially inaccessible for the world's most vulnerable — the very people it was designed to protect.
  • 👩‍💻
Skilled Workers & H-1B Holders
Tech and healthcare H-1B applications face longer timelines and greater uncertainty. Economists and industry groups have raised concerns that the U.S. is ceding its competitive advantage in attracting global talent, with Canada and Europe positioned to benefit.

SECTION 08Social & Economic Impact


🏥
HEALTHCARE
Access Crisis
Immigrants are avoiding hospitals and clinics out of fear of arrest, allowing treatable conditions to escalate into more serious — and more costly — medical crises.
📚
EDUCATION
School Absences
Following family detentions, some children in immigrant households have stopped attending school. Districts are scrambling to respond.
💸
ECONOMY
Local Contraction
Research confirms the "chilling effect": ICE operations reduce labor force participation and consumer spending in immigrant neighborhoods, with spillover impacts on U.S.-born workers.
🗳️
PUBLIC OPINION
Divided
A Pew Research survey found 53% of Americans believe the administration is doing "too much" on deportations — up from 44% in March 2025.

Surveillance has emerged as another front: pressure on the IRS to share immigrant taxpayer data with ICE has led some undocumented immigrants to stop filing tax returns. In documented cases, living immigrants have been declared "bureaucratically dead" in Social Security records — a tactic described by legal experts as weaponized administrative power.

State and local governments have become a fault line in the enforcement landscape. Texas and Florida actively cooperated with federal agencies; New York, California, and other "sanctuary" jurisdictions resisted. More than half of ICE's interior arrests in Trump's first year came from jails in cooperative states — evidence that local political choices directly determine enforcement outcomes.

SECTION 09Assessment: Where Do We Stand?


Trump's second term represents the most sweeping transformation of U.S. immigration law and practice since 1986. The administration remains well short of its stated goal of deporting one million people per year — optimistic projections put the actual interior figure at around 300,000 for 2025 — but the rules, culture, and institutions governing immigration have been fundamentally altered.

Legal battles continue. The Supreme Court upheld several key measures while the birthright citizenship case, the most constitutionally momentous challenge, is still unresolved. The $170 billion injected into enforcement through the OBBBA will compound the administration's operational capacity well into the next decade.

For immigrants themselves, this landscape is defined by deep uncertainty, fear, and escalating financial burden. People who felt secure just two years ago — TPS holders, DACA recipients, long-established undocumented residents — are now questioning their status, their healthcare, and their futures.

These policies are not just reordering the border — they are reshaping the fabric of American society. The effects extend far beyond immigrants themselves: employers, schools, hospitals, and local economies are all caught in the undertow.
MIGRATION POLICY INSTITUTE, JANUARY 2026

The story is still unfolding. Court decisions, potential new executive actions, and the phased implementation of OBBBA provisions guarantee that the landscape will keep changing. What is already clear is that for millions of people in the United States, the America they knew on January 19, 2025, is not the one they live in today.

✦   ✦   ✦

This article draws on publicly available research and reporting from the New York City Bar Association, Migration Policy Institute, Pew Research Center, American Immigration Council, CLINIC, NILC, Deportation Data Project, and NPR.

Last updated: May 2026  |  Topic: U.S. Immigration Policy  |  For informational purposes only. Not legal advice.

Trump Is Back: How Immigration Changed

SPECIAL REPORT · MAY 2026

Trump Is Back:
How Immigration Changed

A comprehensive assessment of every executive order, law, and enforcement shift since January 20, 2025 — what took effect, what courts blocked, and how millions of lives have been reshaped.

MAY 2026IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS16-MINUTE READ
25

From the moment Donald Trump returned to the White House on January 20, 2025, his administration moved at an unprecedented pace to overhaul U.S. immigration. Through executive orders, administrative directives, and sweeping legislation, it has transformed who can enter, stay, work, or seek safety in America — affecting everyone from undocumented workers to green card holders, asylum seekers to international students.

SECTION 01Day One: The Executive Order Flood


On Inauguration Day, Trump signed six immigration-related executive orders in a single stroke — the clearest possible signal that the campaign pledges were about to become policy at maximum speed.

JANUARY 20, 2025
"Securing Our Borders" — End of Catch and Release
Required the detention of all immigrants apprehended for immigration violations until removal, effectively ending the long-standing "catch and release" policy. Revoked all Biden-era immigration enforcement executive orders.
JANUARY 20, 2025
Birthright Citizenship Challenged
Ordered that children born in the U.S. on or after February 19, 2025, would not automatically receive citizenship if neither parent was a lawful permanent resident or citizen. Multiple federal courts immediately blocked the order. The case is pending before the Supreme Court.
JANUARY 20, 2025
Revival of the Visa Ban ("Muslim Ban 3.0")
Directed the administration to identify countries for full or partial visa bans based on national security criteria. Dozens of countries were brought within scope throughout 2025.
JANUARY 20, 2025
National Emergency & Military Deployment
Declared a national emergency at the southern border, enabling the deployment of thousands of active-duty troops and clearing the path for physical barrier construction.
JANUARY–MARCH 2025
Humanitarian Programs Shut Down
The CHNV parole program (Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, Venezuelans), Ukraine parole, and the U.S. Refugee Admissions Program (USRAP) were effectively halted or severely restricted.
APRIL 2025
Mandatory Alien Registration
Undocumented immigrants aged 18 and older were required to register with the federal government beginning April 11, 2025. Green card holders, parolees, and those with work permits were considered already registered.
SEPTEMBER 2025
The Gold Card Program
Created via executive order to attract ultra-high-net-worth immigrants, the Gold Card Program offers permanent residency in exchange for a $5 million investment — a revamped, premium-tier alternative to the existing EB-5 investor visa.

SECTION 02The Law That Changed Everything


The most consequential legislative achievement of Trump's second term is the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA), signed into law on July 4, 2025. Passed through the reconciliation process with a bare 51–50 Senate majority, it injected roughly $170 billion into immigration enforcement and fundamentally restructured who can access humanitarian protection.

The law transforms immigration into a pay-to-play system. Steps that were previously free or low-cost — filing for asylum, renewing a work permit, maintaining TPS — now carry fees that put the process out of reach for the most vulnerable.
AMERICAN IMMIGRATION COUNCIL, JULY 2025

New Fee Structure

APPLICATION TYPEOLD FEENEW FEE
Asylum application (one-time)Free$100 (no waiver)
Annual asylum pending fee+$100 every year
TPS registration$50$500 (no waiver)
Work permit (TPS/parole/asylum)~$410$550 initial / $275 renewal
Immigration court appeal / motion~$120$900
Humanitarian parole entry$1,000
Unlawful border crossing penaltyCriminal penalties+$5,000 (including asylum seekers)
Special Immigrant Juvenile StatusLow$250 (including children)

All fees are indexed to inflation and will rise automatically. The complete absence of fee waivers effectively closes these pathways for low-income immigrants.

Benefit Cuts

  • Medicaid & CHIP — Revoked for immigrants from October 1, 2026.
  • ACA (Obamacare) tax credits — Refugees, asylum seekers, TPS holders, and DACA recipients lose ACA subsidies from January 1, 2027.
  • Medicare — Eligibility sharply curtailed from January 27, 2027.
  • Child Tax Credit (CTC) — At least one parent must hold legal immigration status to claim the credit.
  • Flores Agreement abolished — The 1997 settlement limiting migrant children's detention to 20 days was eliminated, allowing the indefinite detention of families and minors.

SECTION 03Border & Asylum Policy


Along the southern border, new policies have made seeking asylum dramatically harder:

🚫
ASYLUM ACCESS
Effectively Suspended
Claiming asylum outside official ports of entry is nearly impossible under current enforcement.
📋
CHNV PAROLE PROGRAM
Terminated
In May 2025, the Supreme Court allowed the Trump administration to end parole status for CHNV participants.
🪖
MILITARY DEPLOYMENT
Thousands of Troops
Active-duty forces deployed along the entire southern border; new barrier sections under construction.
🌐
SAFE THIRD COUNTRY
Expanded
Safe Third Country agreements extended to additional nations, routing asylum seekers away from the U.S.

The Supreme Court sided with the administration on several border enforcement measures throughout 2025, while the birthright citizenship case remains unresolved.

SECTION 04ICE Operations in the Interior


The most dramatic transformation of 2025 happened not at the border, but deep inside American communities.

📈
ICE DETENTIONS SURGE
+65%
ICE detentions hit an all-time high of approximately 70,000 by December 2025.
🚔
NO-CRIMINAL-RECORD ARRESTS
+2,450%
Arrests of people with no criminal conviction surged approximately 25-fold compared to prior years.
🏙️
STREET ARRESTS
11× Increase
Community-level "at-large" arrests — in neighborhoods, workplaces, and courthouses — rose 11 times over 2024.
💀
DEATHS IN DETENTION
Record High
More people died in ICE detention in 2025 than in the preceding four years combined.

A defining and alarming feature of 2025 enforcement was the expansion of ICE operations into immigration courthouses, worksite raids, and even scheduled check-in appointments. Showing up to exercise your legal rights became a reason to fear arrest — a chilling effect advocates say is driving immigrants away from the legal system entirely.

Chicago's Little Village neighborhood felt like a ghost town before the ICE raids even began. New research confirms what residents experienced: the fear of arrest reduced work, shopping, and daily economic activity in immigrant communities — with spillover costs for U.S.-born workers too.
NPR PLANET MONEY, MAY 2026

More than 100 new detention facilities came online during 2025, including, for the first time, hastily-erected tent camps in desert conditions — which courts have since described as inhumane and overcrowded. State cooperation proved decisive: over half of ICE's interior arrests occurred in jails in cooperating states such as Texas and Florida.

SECTION 05Legal Immigration: Visas & Work Permits


The crackdown extends well beyond undocumented immigrants to those who entered through legal channels:

  • 🎓
F-1 Student Visas HIGH RISK
Social media histories going back five years are now scrutinized on applications and at the border. High-profile student visa revocations and detentions — including at Harvard-affiliated institutions — sparked international alarm. Several universities have reported measurable drops in foreign enrollment applications.
  • 💼
H-1B Skilled Worker Visas UNDER REVIEW
Eligibility requirements were tightened and employer sponsorship pathways narrowed. Agricultural worker unions filed suit in November 2025 over new H-2A guest worker rules, arguing they would depress wages across the sector.
  • 🛂
ESTA Visa Waiver NEW RULE
Under a rule implementing the January 2025 national security executive order, ESTA applicants must now disclose all social media accounts from the past five years.
  • 🏡
TPS (Temporary Protected Status) UNDER THREAT
The administration moved to terminate TPS designations for Salvadorans, Venezuelans, and others. Courts offered partial protection, but skyrocketing fees under the OBBBA create severe pressure regardless of legal status.
  • 🗂️
DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) UNDER THREAT
The program faces sustained legal attack; renewals have been administratively slowed. The OBBBA explicitly excludes DACA recipients from ACA health insurance subsidies, while the program's long-term survival remains deeply uncertain.

SECTION 06What Courts Blocked


Federal courts have served as a significant — if incomplete — check on the administration's most expansive claims. The Supreme Court, however, sided with the administration on multiple key measures.

FEBRUARY 2025
Birthright Citizenship — Blocked
Multiple federal circuits found the executive order unconstitutional. The Supreme Court is scheduled to hear the case and will decide whether the 150-year-old guarantee survives.
MAY 2025
CHNV Parole Termination — Supreme Court Approved
The Supreme Court allowed the administration to end parole status for hundreds of thousands of Cuban, Haitian, Nicaraguan, and Venezuelan immigrants overnight.
MAY–JULY 2025
TPS Terminations — Partially Blocked
Courts issued partial stays on TPS cancellations for several nationalities, but legal uncertainty continues, leaving hundreds of thousands in limbo.
SEPTEMBER 2025
Vasquez-Perdomo v. Noem — Racial Profiling Door Opened
A Supreme Court ruling removed certain legal barriers to racial profiling in immigration enforcement, drawing sharp condemnation from civil rights organizations.

SECTION 07The Most Affected Groups


  • 🌎
Latino Communities
Over half of ICE's interior arrests targeted Latino neighborhoods. According to Pew Research, 59% of Hispanic Americans say ICE has conducted raids in their area — far higher than for any other ethnic group. Both documented and undocumented Latinos live under a pervasive climate of fear. Even Hispanic Republicans (35%) are seven times more likely than White Republicans (5%) to worry about a loved one being deported.
  • 🇻🇪🇭🇹🇨🇺🇳🇮
CHNV & TPS Holders
Hundreds of thousands of people who arrived through the CHNV program lost their legal status in May 2025. TPS holders now face both the threat of termination and prohibitively high fees under the OBBBA. For those without an alternative pathway, deportation is a near-term reality.
  • 🎓
International Students
F-1 visa revocations and social media surveillance have led many students to reconsider studying in the U.S. Universities are reporting visible drops in international applications, with long-term consequences for research capacity and campus diversity.
  • 🌿
Agricultural Workers
Migrant farmworkers are essential to U.S. food production, but face intensifying enforcement and new H-2A visa restrictions. Some farmers reported being unable to fill positions during harvest season, with downstream effects on food prices and supply.
  • 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦
Mixed-Status Families
Households where one parent is a U.S. citizen and others hold different statuses are being squeezed from two sides: deportation fear on one, and the loss of Child Tax Credit benefits and health insurance access on the other. The OBBBA's welfare restrictions directly target these families.
  • 🌍
Refugees & Asylum Seekers
U.S. refugee admissions fell to historic lows in 2025. New filing fees and the annual "pending asylum" fee make the system financially inaccessible for the world's most vulnerable — the very people it was designed to protect.
  • 👩‍💻
Skilled Workers & H-1B Holders
Tech and healthcare H-1B applications face longer timelines and greater uncertainty. Economists and industry groups have raised concerns that the U.S. is ceding its competitive advantage in attracting global talent, with Canada and Europe positioned to benefit.

SECTION 08Social & Economic Impact


🏥
HEALTHCARE
Access Crisis
Immigrants are avoiding hospitals and clinics out of fear of arrest, allowing treatable conditions to escalate into more serious — and more costly — medical crises.
📚
EDUCATION
School Absences
Following family detentions, some children in immigrant households have stopped attending school. Districts are scrambling to respond.
💸
ECONOMY
Local Contraction
Research confirms the "chilling effect": ICE operations reduce labor force participation and consumer spending in immigrant neighborhoods, with spillover impacts on U.S.-born workers.
🗳️
PUBLIC OPINION
Divided
A Pew Research survey found 53% of Americans believe the administration is doing "too much" on deportations — up from 44% in March 2025.

Surveillance has emerged as another front: pressure on the IRS to share immigrant taxpayer data with ICE has led some undocumented immigrants to stop filing tax returns. In documented cases, living immigrants have been declared "bureaucratically dead" in Social Security records — a tactic described by legal experts as weaponized administrative power.

State and local governments have become a fault line in the enforcement landscape. Texas and Florida actively cooperated with federal agencies; New York, California, and other "sanctuary" jurisdictions resisted. More than half of ICE's interior arrests in Trump's first year came from jails in cooperative states — evidence that local political choices directly determine enforcement outcomes.

SECTION 09Assessment: Where Do We Stand?


Trump's second term represents the most sweeping transformation of U.S. immigration law and practice since 1986. The administration remains well short of its stated goal of deporting one million people per year — optimistic projections put the actual interior figure at around 300,000 for 2025 — but the rules, culture, and institutions governing immigration have been fundamentally altered.

Legal battles continue. The Supreme Court upheld several key measures while the birthright citizenship case, the most constitutionally momentous challenge, is still unresolved. The $170 billion injected into enforcement through the OBBBA will compound the administration's operational capacity well into the next decade.

For immigrants themselves, this landscape is defined by deep uncertainty, fear, and escalating financial burden. People who felt secure just two years ago — TPS holders, DACA recipients, long-established undocumented residents — are now questioning their status, their healthcare, and their futures.

These policies are not just reordering the border — they are reshaping the fabric of American society. The effects extend far beyond immigrants themselves: employers, schools, hospitals, and local economies are all caught in the undertow.
MIGRATION POLICY INSTITUTE, JANUARY 2026

The story is still unfolding. Court decisions, potential new executive actions, and the phased implementation of OBBBA provisions guarantee that the landscape will keep changing. What is already clear is that for millions of people in the United States, the America they knew on January 19, 2025, is not the one they live in today.

✦   ✦   ✦

This article draws on publicly available research and reporting from the New York City Bar Association, Migration Policy Institute, Pew Research Center, American Immigration Council, CLINIC, NILC, Deportation Data Project, and NPR.

Last updated: May 2026  |  Topic: U.S. Immigration Policy  |  For informational purposes only. Not legal advice.

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